Defensor Sporting 0-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 8 Mar 2025

Defensor Sporting
0-1 HT 0-0
Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
📅08/03/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Uruguay - Premier League – 2025

Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.7pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Defensor Sporting v Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensor Sporting EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.52/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.95
+20% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
253 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7

Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensor Sporting
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.10.2024 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 2-1 HT 2-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
19.04.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-1 HT 0-1 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
01.02.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URUSK
18.10.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-0 HT 1-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
30.07.2023 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 0-1 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
14.03.2023 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 2-2 HT 1-2 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU

Defensor Sporting 0-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensor Sporting
0-1
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) nicked a narrow win over Defensor Sporting 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Defensor Sporting at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Defensor Sporting had 43% of the ball to Liverpool FC (Montevideo)'s 57%, shots finished 14-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Defensor Sporting and 1.33 for Liverpool FC (Montevideo).

What was the final score of Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Defensor Sporting 0-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) in the Uruguay - Premier League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Defensor Sporting 41%, draw 27%, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Defensor Sporting) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Defensor Sporting) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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8 Mar 2025
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