Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-1 Defensor Sporting — Result, Stats & Model Review (Uruguay - Premier League, 19 Apr 2024)

Liverpool FC (Montevideo)

1-1 HT 0-1

Defensor Sporting

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3

Top 2 Score Predictions

1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗

Uruguay - Premier League – 2024

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Defensor Sporting Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions

Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend

⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.

Match Result

Home

36%

2.99

Draw

30%

3.28

Away

34%

2.11

Under/Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55%

1.74

Over 2.5

45%

2.0

Both Teams to Score

Yes

50%

1.82

50%

1.88

Total Goals

0-1 Goal

29%

2-3 Goals

41%

4-5 Goals

22%

6+ Goals

Half Time / Full Time

1/1

14%

1/2

11%

1/X

X/1

17%

X/2

12%

X/X

16%

2/1

2/2

11%

2/X

PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine

Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline

✋

Decision

No Bet — Skip This Match

The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.

💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.

Model vs Market — where we differ

iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers

36%

Home Win

30%

+6.0pp

30%

Draw

27%

+3.2pp

34%

Away Win

43%

-9.2pp

55%

Under 2.5

54%

+1.0pp

45%

Over 2.5

46%

-1.0pp

50%

BTTS Yes

51%

-0.6pp

50%

BTTS No

49%

+0.6pp

gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) v Defensor Sporting — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine

iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals

HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 33%

Head to Head

AWAY Defensor Sporting EU Bookmakers 48%

+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -7%

1.03/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.98

-10% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +6%

49% Ball Possession 51%

11 Total Shots 11

4 Shots on Target 5

6 Corners 4

289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%

– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –

– Crosses –

3.3 Yellow Cards 2.4

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Defensor Sporting Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings

Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings

HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)

3W-1D-2L

AWAY Defensor Sporting

1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33

50% Ball Possession 50%

14 Total Shots 11

6 Shots on Target 5

6 Corners 6

3 Yellow Cards 4

The Meetings

01.02.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo)

1-0 HT 0-0

Defensor Sporting URUSK

18.10.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo)

2-0 HT 1-0

Defensor Sporting URU

30.07.2023 Defensor Sporting

0-1 HT 0-0

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU

14.03.2023 Defensor Sporting

2-2 HT 1-2

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU

04.10.2022 Defensor Sporting

3-0 HT 2-0

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URUK

01.08.2022 Liverpool FC (Montevideo)

1-3 HT 0-1

Defensor Sporting URU

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-1 Defensor Sporting — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result

Real recorded figures from this match

HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)

1-1

AWAY Defensor Sporting

54% Ball Possession 46%

13 Total Shots 14

5 Shots on Target 10

8 Corners 8

2 Yellow Cards 6

POST-MATCH Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Defensor Sporting

iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and Defensor Sporting shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had 54% of the ball to Defensor Sporting's 46%, shots finished 13-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and 1.33 for Defensor Sporting.

What was the final score of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Defensor Sporting?

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-1 Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay - Premier League on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Defensor Sporting?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 36%, draw 30%, Defensor Sporting 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✓ Under 2.5

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