Racing Club Montevideo 1-1 Cerro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 19 Apr 2024

Racing Club Montevideo
1-1 HT 1-0
Cerro
📅19/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Uruguay - Premier League – 2024

Racing Club Montevideo vs Cerro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Racing Club Montevideo v Cerro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro EU Bookmakers 32%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +21%
1.52/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.02
+21% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
220 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.9

Racing Club Montevideo vs Cerro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Cerro
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
07.12.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
25.06.2023 Cerro Cerro 1-2 HT 0-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
16.05.2023 Cerro Cerro 1-0 HT 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
28.08.2022 Cerro Cerro 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU2
14.10.2021 Cerro Cerro 1-0 HT 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU2
06.12.2015 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-2 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU

Racing Club Montevideo 1-1 Cerro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
1-1
AWAY Cerro
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Racing Club Montevideo vs Cerro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club Montevideo and Cerro shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Racing Club Montevideo at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Racing Club Montevideo had 51% of the ball to Cerro's 49%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Racing Club Montevideo and 1.00 for Cerro.

What was the final score of Racing Club Montevideo vs Cerro?

Racing Club Montevideo 1-1 Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club Montevideo vs Cerro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Racing Club Montevideo 43%, draw 29%, Cerro 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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