FC Astana 4-1 Zhetysu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.33
Draw
14%
4.62
Away
10%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.18
Over 2.5
64%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
2%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
71%
+5.1pp
14%
Draw
18%
-4.6pp
11%
Away Win
11%
-0.5pp
36%
Under 2.5
42%
-5.9pp
64%
Over 2.5
58%
+5.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.2pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Astana EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhetysu EU Bookmakers 14%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -9%
2.81/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/2.26
+30% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
446 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Astana
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Zhetysu
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
06.07.2025 Zhetysu Zhetysu 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
30.03.2025 FC Astana FC Astana 3-0 HT 2-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
10.11.2024 FC Astana FC Astana 5-0 HT 5-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
05.03.2024 Zhetysu Zhetysu 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
21.10.2023 FC Astana FC Astana 2-1 HT 1-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
09.03.2023 Zhetysu Zhetysu 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
POST-MATCH FC Astana vs Zhetysu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Astana cruised past Zhetysu 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Astana as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Astana had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for FC Astana and 0.17 for Zhetysu.

What was the final score of FC Astana vs Zhetysu?

FC Astana 4-1 Zhetysu in the Kazakistan - Super League on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Astana vs Zhetysu?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Astana win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split FC Astana 76%, draw 14%, Zhetysu 11%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Astana), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Astana) ✓ Over 2.5
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