Senyo Carnifex 1-1 Tarpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB III, 8 Mar 2026

Senyo Carnifex
1-1 HT 1-0
Tarpa
📅08/03/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Hungary - NB III – 2025/2026

Senyo Carnifex vs Tarpa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
33%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-1.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
48%
Away Win
45%
+3.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.0pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Senyo Carnifex v Tarpa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Senyo Carnifex EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Tarpa EU Bookmakers 49%
+50% / +50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.01/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.03
+21% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +38%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Senyo Carnifex vs Tarpa Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Senyo Carnifex
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tarpa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
The Meetings
17.08.2025 Tarpa 3-1 HT 2-1 Senyo Carnifex MAC3
POST-MATCH Senyo Carnifex vs Tarpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Senyo Carnifex and Tarpa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Tarpa at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Senyo Carnifex vs Tarpa?

Senyo Carnifex 1-1 Tarpa in the Hungary - NB III on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Senyo Carnifex vs Tarpa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tarpa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Senyo Carnifex 27%, draw 25%, Tarpa 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tarpa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tarpa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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