Tarpa 3-1 Senyo Carnifex — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB III, 17 Aug 2025

Tarpa
3-1 HT 2-1
Senyo Carnifex
📅17/08/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Hungary - NB III – 2025/2026

Tarpa vs Senyo Carnifex Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
34%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
14%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-7.5pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.2pp
34%
Away Win
24%
+10.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.9pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tarpa v Senyo Carnifex — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tarpa EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Senyo Carnifex EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -76% / -43%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Tarpa vs Senyo Carnifex
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tarpa beat Senyo Carnifex 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tarpa as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Tarpa vs Senyo Carnifex?

Tarpa 3-1 Senyo Carnifex in the Hungary - NB III on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tarpa vs Senyo Carnifex?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tarpa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Tarpa 45%, draw 21%, Senyo Carnifex 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tarpa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tarpa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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