Djurgarden 3-3 Hacken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 8 Apr 2024

Djurgarden
3-3 HT 0-1
Hacken
📅08/04/2024 · 🕒20:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Djurgarden vs Hacken Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.86
6+ Goals
10%
8.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.27
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
18%
4.36
X/2
8%
8.92
X/X
8%
5.57
2/1
7%
21.45
2/2
15%
6.18
2/X EV+ ✓
12%
13.95
Value flag · 2/X at 13.95 — our 12% vs market 4.3%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-5.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.1pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Djurgarden v Hacken — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Hacken EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +12%
1.44/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.36
+21% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
24.7 Crosses 14.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7

Djurgarden vs Hacken Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Djurgarden
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Hacken
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.56 xG 1.05
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
370 Passes 450
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
28 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.05.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 1-0 HT 0-0 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
03.05.2023 Hacken Hacken 4-1 HT 0-1 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
19.03.2023 Hacken Hacken 3-0 HT 2-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇK
09.10.2022 Djurgarden Djurgarden 0-1 HT 0-1 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
24.07.2022 Hacken Hacken 1-2 HT 1-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
04.12.2021 Hacken Hacken 0-1 HT 0-1 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ

Djurgarden 3-3 Hacken — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Djurgarden
3-3
AWAY Hacken
2.24 xG 0.81
54% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
14 Corners 3
439 Passes 397
88% Pass Accuracy 88%
33 Box Touches 18
34 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Djurgarden vs Hacken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Djurgarden and Hacken shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Djurgarden at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Djurgarden had 54% of the ball to Hacken's 46%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 2.24 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Djurgarden and 1.50 for Hacken.

What was the final score of Djurgarden vs Hacken?

Djurgarden 3-3 Hacken in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Djurgarden vs Hacken?

Before kick-off our model rated a Djurgarden win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Djurgarden 45%, draw 26%, Hacken 29%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Djurgarden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Djurgarden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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