Kalmar 1-2 IK Sirius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 8 Apr 2024

Kalmar
1-2 HT 0-0
IK Sirius
📅08/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Kalmar vs IK Sirius Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.45
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.45
6+ Goals
11%
13.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.34
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
30.5
1/X
8%
12.65
X/1
17%
5.24
X/2
12%
6.08
X/X
9%
4.6
2/1
5%
27.0
2/2
16%
4.13
2/X
9%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 30.5 — our 7% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.3pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kalmar v IK Sirius — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalmar EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +5%
1.23/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.14
-24% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 74%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
18.9 Crosses 17.6
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7

Kalmar vs IK Sirius Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalmar
2W-3D-1L
AWAY IK Sirius
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.74 xG 1.04
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
551 Passes 432
88% Pass Accuracy 86%
26 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.08.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 3-0 HT 3-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
03.05.2023 Kalmar Kalmar 2-2 HT 2-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
24.10.2022 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-0 HT 0-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
10.07.2022 Kalmar Kalmar 1-1 HT 1-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
06.03.2022 Kalmar Kalmar 2-0 HT 0-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇK
03.10.2021 Kalmar Kalmar 3-1 HT 0-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ

Kalmar 1-2 IK Sirius — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalmar
1-2
AWAY IK Sirius
1.89 xG 2.41
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
344 Passes 355
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kalmar vs IK Sirius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Sirius edged past Kalmar 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; IK Sirius found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kalmar had 50% of the ball to IK Sirius's 50%, shots finished 13-20, expected goals 1.89 to 2.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kalmar had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kalmar and 1.17 for IK Sirius.

What was the final score of Kalmar vs IK Sirius?

Kalmar 1-2 IK Sirius in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalmar vs IK Sirius?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kalmar win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kalmar 39%, draw 26%, IK Sirius 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kalmar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kalmar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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