Lucchese 1-1 Arezzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 8 Apr 2024

📅08/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.29
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
5.33
6+ Goals
9%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.4pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.7pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lucchese EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Arezzo EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
1.34/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.30
+1% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lucchese
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Arezzo
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
02.12.2023 Arezzo Arezzo 1-1 HT 0-0 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
03.10.2023 Arezzo Arezzo 3-4 HT 2-2 Lucchese Lucchese İTCK
15.11.2015 Arezzo Arezzo 1-2 HT 0-0 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lucchese
1-1
AWAY Arezzo
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lucchese vs Arezzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lucchese and Arezzo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Lucchese at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Lucchese had 51% of the ball to Arezzo's 49%, shots finished 8-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lucchese had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Lucchese and 1.67 for Arezzo.

What was the final score of Lucchese vs Arezzo?

Lucchese 1-1 Arezzo in the Italy - Serie C on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lucchese vs Arezzo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lucchese win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lucchese 45%, draw 26%, Arezzo 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lucchese), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lucchese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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