Renate 2-0 Mantova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 8 Apr 2024

📅08/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
39%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.48
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.79
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.0pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+5.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.9pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renate EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Mantova EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.09/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.71
-7% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +56%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renate
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Mantova
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2023 Mantova Mantova 4-1 HT 1-1 Renate Renate İTC
08.04.2023 Mantova Mantova 3-1 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
04.12.2022 Renate Renate 1-3 HT 0-1 Mantova Mantova İTC
02.11.2022 Mantova Mantova 2-2 Renate Renate İTCK
02.04.2022 Renate Renate 3-1 HT 1-1 Mantova Mantova İTC
28.11.2021 Mantova Mantova 2-2 HT 1-1 Renate Renate İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renate
2-0
AWAY Mantova
28% Ball Possession 72%
7 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Renate vs Mantova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renate beat Mantova 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Renate found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Renate had 28% of the ball to Mantova's 72%, shots finished 7-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mantova led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Renate and 2.50 for Mantova.

What was the final score of Renate vs Mantova?

Renate 2-0 Mantova in the Italy - Serie C on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renate vs Mantova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mantova win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Renate 35%, draw 26%, Mantova 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mantova) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mantova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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