Coquimbo Unido 2-1 Cobreloa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 8 Apr 2024

📅08/04/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-6.3pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.0pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.4pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coquimbo Unido EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Cobreloa EU Bookmakers 28%
+14% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
1.42/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.20
+15% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +102%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
22.7 Crosses 15.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coquimbo Unido
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Cobreloa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
06.09.2021 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 2-1 HT 1-0 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİLİB
04.05.2021 Cobreloa Cobreloa 1-1 HT 1-1 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİLİB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coquimbo Unido
2-1
AWAY Cobreloa
1.40 xG 0.22
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
347 Passes 215
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Box Touches 6
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Coquimbo Unido vs Cobreloa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coquimbo Unido nicked a narrow win over Cobreloa 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Coquimbo Unido as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Coquimbo Unido had 60% of the ball to Cobreloa's 40%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 1.40 to 0.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Coquimbo Unido had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Coquimbo Unido and 1.00 for Cobreloa.

What was the final score of Coquimbo Unido vs Cobreloa?

Coquimbo Unido 2-1 Cobreloa in the Chile - Premier League on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coquimbo Unido vs Cobreloa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coquimbo Unido win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Coquimbo Unido 44%, draw 32%, Cobreloa 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coquimbo Unido), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coquimbo Unido) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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