Union Espanola 0-1 Universidad Chile — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 8 Apr 2024

Union Espanola
0-1 HT 0-0
Universidad Chile
📅08/04/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Chile - Premier League – 2024

Union Espanola vs Universidad Chile Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Espanola v Universidad Chile — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.35/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.35
+46% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
21.6 Crosses 17.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7

Union Espanola vs Universidad Chile Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Espanola
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Universidad Chile
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.20 xG 1.08
55% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
292 Passes 216
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
21 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.07.2023 Union Espanola Union Espanola 3-0 HT 2-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
29.01.2023 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 1-0 HT 1-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
03.11.2022 Union Espanola Union Espanola 1-0 HT 0-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİLİK
27.10.2022 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİLİK
07.08.2022 Union Espanola Union Espanola 1-1 HT 1-1 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
27.03.2022 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 2-0 HT 1-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL

Union Espanola 0-1 Universidad Chile — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Espanola
0-1
AWAY Universidad Chile
0.56 xG 1.19
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 8
327 Passes 233
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
14 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Union Espanola vs Universidad Chile
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universidad Chile nicked a narrow win over Union Espanola 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Universidad Chile found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Union Espanola had 55% of the ball to Universidad Chile's 45%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.56 to 1.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Union Espanola and 0.67 for Universidad Chile.

What was the final score of Union Espanola vs Universidad Chile?

Union Espanola 0-1 Universidad Chile in the Chile - Premier League on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Espanola vs Universidad Chile?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Espanola win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Union Espanola 38%, draw 26%, Universidad Chile 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Union Espanola) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Espanola) ✓ Under 2.5
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