Real Tomayapo 2-1 Santa Cruz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 8 Apr 2024

Real Tomayapo
2-1 HT 2-0
Santa Cruz
📅08/04/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme – 2024

Real Tomayapo vs Santa Cruz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-12.4pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.6pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+6.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.5pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Tomayapo v Santa Cruz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Tomayapo EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Cruz EU Bookmakers 18%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +21%
1.13/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.34
-3% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
362 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 78%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
20.7 Crosses 12.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.1

Real Tomayapo vs Santa Cruz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Tomayapo
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Santa Cruz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.62 xG 0.87
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
253 Passes 241
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
10 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.02.2024 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 1-2 HT 1-0 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
17.07.2023 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
12.02.2023 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 1-0 HT 0-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
30.09.2022 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
01.11.2021 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 2-0 HT 2-0 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
21.07.2021 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 2-1 HT 0-1 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ

Real Tomayapo 2-1 Santa Cruz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Tomayapo
2-1
AWAY Santa Cruz
2.70 xG 1.02
47% Ball Possession 53%
20 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 7
239 Passes 287
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
36 Box Touches 17
34 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Tomayapo vs Santa Cruz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Tomayapo edged past Santa Cruz 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Real Tomayapo as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Tomayapo had 47% of the ball to Santa Cruz's 53%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 2.70 to 1.02 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Real Tomayapo's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Tomayapo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Tomayapo and 1.00 for Santa Cruz.

What was the final score of Real Tomayapo vs Santa Cruz?

Real Tomayapo 2-1 Santa Cruz in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Tomayapo vs Santa Cruz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Tomayapo win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Real Tomayapo 51%, draw 28%, Santa Cruz 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Tomayapo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Tomayapo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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