Santa Cruz 1-2 Real Tomayapo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.9pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.7pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.7pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Cruz EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Tomayapo EU Bookmakers 34%
+26% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
1.03/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.33
+24% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
15.9 Crosses 17.1
3.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Cruz
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Real Tomayapo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
0.82 xG 0.41
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
237 Passes 260
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.07.2023 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
12.02.2023 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 1-0 HT 0-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
30.09.2022 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
01.11.2021 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 2-0 HT 2-0 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
21.07.2021 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 2-1 HT 0-1 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Cruz
1-2
AWAY Real Tomayapo
1.02 xG 1.28
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
254 Passes 231
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
11 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santa Cruz vs Real Tomayapo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Tomayapo squeezed past Santa Cruz 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Real Tomayapo found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Santa Cruz had 52% of the ball to Real Tomayapo's 48%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.02 to 1.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Santa Cruz and 0.80 for Real Tomayapo.

What was the final score of Santa Cruz vs Real Tomayapo?

Santa Cruz 1-2 Real Tomayapo in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Cruz vs Real Tomayapo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Cruz win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Santa Cruz 39%, draw 24%, Real Tomayapo 37%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Santa Cruz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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