Nacional Potosi 3-3 Blooming — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
14%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
65%
-6.4pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.8pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.8pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Blooming EU Bookmakers 19%
+7% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +3%
1.78/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.32
+16% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
360 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 75%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
25.7 Crosses 14.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Potosi
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Blooming
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.11 xG 0.69
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
330 Passes 164
80% Pass Accuracy 65%
20 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.11.2023 Blooming Blooming 2-1 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLPLK
17.07.2023 Blooming Blooming 1-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
12.02.2023 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 3-0 HT 2-0 Blooming Blooming BOLİ
24.10.2021 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 4-0 HT 3-0 Blooming Blooming BOLİ
13.07.2021 Blooming Blooming 2-1 HT 1-1 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
21.12.2020 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 1-0 HT 0-0 Blooming Blooming BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Potosi
3-3
AWAY Blooming
2.46 xG 0.59
66% Ball Possession 34%
25 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
321 Passes 156
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
37 Box Touches 14
41 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Nacional Potosi vs Blooming
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Potosi and Blooming couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Nacional Potosi at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Nacional Potosi had 66% of the ball to Blooming's 34%, shots finished 25-12, expected goals 2.46 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nacional Potosi and 0.83 for Blooming.

What was the final score of Nacional Potosi vs Blooming?

Nacional Potosi 3-3 Blooming in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Potosi vs Blooming?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Potosi win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Nacional Potosi 58%, draw 22%, Blooming 20%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nacional Potosi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nacional Potosi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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