Bolivar 3-1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.25
Draw
22%
6.26
Away
13%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.68
Over 2.5
63%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
76%
-11.0pp
22%
Draw
13%
+9.2pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+1.9pp
37%
Under 2.5
24%
+13.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
76%
-13.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.8pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolivar EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+46% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
399 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.3 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolivar
3-1
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2.24 xG 0.79
70% Ball Possession 30%
18 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
497 Passes 183
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 12
12 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bolivar vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolivar beat Gualberto Villarroel SJ 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bolivar as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, Bolivar had 70% of the ball to Gualberto Villarroel SJ's 30%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 2.24 to 0.79.

What was the final score of Bolivar vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Bolivar 3-1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolivar vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolivar win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Bolivar 65%, draw 22%, Gualberto Villarroel SJ 13%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolivar), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bolivar) ✓ Over 2.5
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