Siroki Brijeg 2-2 GOSK Gabela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 8 Apr 2024

📅08/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.86
Over 2.5
38%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
28%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-3.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+0.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
50%
+11.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
50%
-11.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.9pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Siroki Brijeg EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY GOSK Gabela EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.49/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.72
-9% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
369 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Siroki Brijeg
1W-1D-0L
AWAY GOSK Gabela
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
55% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
03.12.2023 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela 0-0 HT 0-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
27.08.2023 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 2-0 HT 1-0 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Siroki Brijeg
2-2
AWAY GOSK Gabela
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Siroki Brijeg vs GOSK Gabela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Siroki Brijeg and GOSK Gabela couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Siroki Brijeg at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Siroki Brijeg had 45% of the ball to GOSK Gabela's 55%, shots finished 14-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Siroki Brijeg had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Siroki Brijeg and 0.00 for GOSK Gabela.

What was the final score of Siroki Brijeg vs GOSK Gabela?

Siroki Brijeg 2-2 GOSK Gabela in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Siroki Brijeg vs GOSK Gabela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Siroki Brijeg win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Siroki Brijeg 53%, draw 27%, GOSK Gabela 20%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Siroki Brijeg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
8 Apr 2024
19:00 Zrinjski Mostar vs Zvijezda 09 Brgule Analysis →