Zrinjski Mostar 4-0 Zvijezda 09 Brgule — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 8 Apr 2024

📅08/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.18
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.33
Over 2.5
60%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.29
No
50%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
80%
-14.7pp
20%
Draw
14%
+5.5pp
15%
Away Win
6%
+9.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
39%
+0.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
61%
-0.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+10.8pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zrinjski Mostar EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Zvijezda 09 Brgule EU Bookmakers 9%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
2.67/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/2.68
+22% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -24%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
514 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zrinjski Mostar
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Zvijezda 09 Brgule
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 5
04.12.2023 Zvijezda 09 Brgule Zvijezda 09 Brgule 2-1 HT 0-0 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
27.08.2023 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 5-3 HT 3-2 Zvijezda 09 Brgule Zvijezda 09 Brgule BOSN
19.10.2022 Zvijezda 09 Brgule Zvijezda 09 Brgule 0-4 HT 0-1 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zrinjski Mostar
4-0
AWAY Zvijezda 09 Brgule
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zrinjski Mostar vs Zvijezda 09 Brgule
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zrinjski Mostar swept aside Zvijezda 09 Brgule 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zrinjski Mostar as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Zrinjski Mostar had 67% of the ball to Zvijezda 09 Brgule's 33%, shots finished 15-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Zrinjski Mostar had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Zrinjski Mostar and 1.67 for Zvijezda 09 Brgule.

What was the final score of Zrinjski Mostar vs Zvijezda 09 Brgule?

Zrinjski Mostar 4-0 Zvijezda 09 Brgule in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zrinjski Mostar vs Zvijezda 09 Brgule?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zrinjski Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Zrinjski Mostar 65%, draw 20%, Zvijezda 09 Brgule 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zrinjski Mostar), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zrinjski Mostar) ✓ Over 2.5
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
8 Apr 2024
16:30 Siroki Brijeg vs GOSK Gabela Analysis →