Kryvbas KR 1-1 Vorskla Poltava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 8 Apr 2024

📅08/04/2024 · 🕒18:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.8
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.62
Over 2.5
31%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.06
No
65%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
52%
-11.2pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.7pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.7pp
69%
Under 2.5
58%
+11.1pp
31%
Over 2.5
42%
-11.1pp
35%
BTTS Yes
44%
-9.1pp
65%
BTTS No
56%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kryvbas KR EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Vorskla Poltava EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -16%
1.11/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.41
-29% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
351 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kryvbas KR
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Vorskla Poltava
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
23.09.2023 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 1-4 HT 1-2 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
19.05.2023 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 1-0 HT 0-0 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
09.11.2022 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 1-0 HT 0-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
POST-MATCH Kryvbas KR vs Vorskla Poltava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kryvbas KR and Vorskla Poltava shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 33% / 26% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (69%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kryvbas KR had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kryvbas KR and 0.67 for Vorskla Poltava.

What was the final score of Kryvbas KR vs Vorskla Poltava?

Kryvbas KR 1-1 Vorskla Poltava in the Ukraine - Premier League on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kryvbas KR vs Vorskla Poltava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kryvbas KR win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kryvbas KR 40%, draw 33%, Vorskla Poltava 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kryvbas KR), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kryvbas KR) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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