Minai 2-3 Polessya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 8 Apr 2024

📅08/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
34%
3.35
Away
39%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+3.2pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.0pp
39%
Away Win
50%
-10.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.1pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minai EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Polessya EU Bookmakers 54%
+13% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.96/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.68
-6% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +52%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
257 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minai
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Polessya
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
23.09.2023 Polessya Polessya 2-1 HT 0-1 Minai Minai UKR
30.09.2020 Polessya Polessya 1-2 HT 1-1 Minai Minai UKRK
POST-MATCH Minai vs Polessya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polessya squeezed past Minai 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (27% / 33% / 39%) promised a tight game; Polessya found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Minai and 1.50 for Polessya.

What was the final score of Minai vs Polessya?

Minai 2-3 Polessya in the Ukraine - Premier League on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minai vs Polessya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polessya win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Minai 27%, draw 33%, Polessya 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polessya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Polessya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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