Chesterfield 1-1 Gillingham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 8 Apr 2025

Chesterfield
1-1 HT 0-1
Gillingham
📅08/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Chesterfield vs Gillingham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No OUR CALL
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.7
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.99
6+ Goals
9%
18.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.71
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.05
X/1
16%
4.48
X/2
9%
7.72
X/X
13%
4.4
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
12%
6.25
2/X
6%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS No — 55% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
+0.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chesterfield v Gillingham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chesterfield EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Gillingham EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -3%
1.69/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.30
+7% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
386 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 67%
31.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
22.0 Crosses 16.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1

Chesterfield vs Gillingham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chesterfield
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gillingham
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.24 xG 0.76
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
441 Passes 165
85% Pass Accuracy 66%
31 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
31.08.2024 Gillingham Gillingham 1-0 HT 1-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN2
14.02.2017 Gillingham Gillingham 1-1 HT 0-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN1
27.09.2016 Chesterfield Chesterfield 3-3 HT 1-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN1
27.02.2016 Gillingham Gillingham 1-2 HT 0-2 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN1
10.10.2015 Chesterfield Chesterfield 1-3 HT 1-1 Gillingham Gillingham İN1
17.03.2015 Chesterfield Chesterfield 3-0 HT 2-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN1

Chesterfield 1-1 Gillingham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chesterfield
1-1
AWAY Gillingham
1.50 xG 0.42
73% Ball Possession 27%
11 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
512 Passes 130
85% Pass Accuracy 60%
22 Box Touches 9
20 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chesterfield vs Gillingham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chesterfield and Gillingham couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Chesterfield at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chesterfield had 73% of the ball to Gillingham's 27%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 1.50 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Chesterfield and 1.50 for Gillingham.

What was the final score of Chesterfield vs Gillingham?

Chesterfield 1-1 Gillingham in the England - 2nd Division on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chesterfield vs Gillingham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chesterfield win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Chesterfield 48%, draw 26%, Gillingham 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chesterfield), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chesterfield) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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