Gillingham vs Chesterfield Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gillingham v Chesterfield — Team-Based Signals
Gillingham vs Chesterfield Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Chesterfield
İN1
3-3
HT 1-0
Gillingham
İN1
1-2
HT 0-2
Chesterfield
İN1
1-3
HT 1-1
Gillingham
İN1
3-0
HT 2-0
Gillingham
İN1
2-3
HT 0-1
Chesterfield
İN1
Gillingham 1-0 Chesterfield — Actual Match Statistics
Gillingham edged past Chesterfield 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Gillingham made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Gillingham had 33% of the ball to Chesterfield's 67%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.76 to 1.24 — the balance of chances actually favoured Chesterfield.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chesterfield led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gillingham and 2.17 for Chesterfield.
What was the final score of Gillingham vs Chesterfield?
Gillingham 1-0 Chesterfield in the England - 2nd Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gillingham vs Chesterfield?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gillingham win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gillingham 38%, draw 27%, Chesterfield 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gillingham) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.