Walsall 2-1 Cheltenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.48
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 29% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.22
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.25
X/1
21%
4.05
X/2
10%
9.48
X/X
13%
4.99
2/1
8%
23.6
2/2
9%
7.29
2/X
8%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-7.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walsall EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheltenham Town EU Bookmakers 24%
-3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +23%
1.79/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.99
-15% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 70%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
24.3 Crosses 13.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walsall
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Cheltenham Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.93 xG 1.42
49% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
226 Passes 277
66% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2022 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 2-1 HT 2-0 Walsall Walsall İNTK
16.02.2021 Walsall Walsall 1-2 HT 1-2 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
21.11.2020 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 3-0 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
11.01.2020 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 3-1 HT 1-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
19.10.2019 Walsall Walsall 1-2 HT 0-1 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
28.07.2018 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Walsall Walsall HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walsall
2-1
AWAY Cheltenham Town
3.61 xG 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
24 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
200 Passes 236
66% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Walsall vs Cheltenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walsall edged past Cheltenham Town 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Walsall as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Walsall had 47% of the ball to Cheltenham Town's 53%, shots finished 24-6, expected goals 3.61 to 1.67 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Walsall's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cheltenham Town led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Walsall and 2.17 for Cheltenham Town.

What was the final score of Walsall vs Cheltenham Town?

Walsall 2-1 Cheltenham Town in the England - 2nd Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walsall vs Cheltenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walsall win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Walsall 47%, draw 28%, Cheltenham Town 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Walsall) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Walsall) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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