Arminia Bielefeld 4-2 Wehen Wiesbaden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 8 Apr 2025

📅08/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
3.42
6+ Goals
11%
12.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.19
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.5
X/1
15%
4.28
X/2
6%
9.72
X/X
12%
5.37
2/1
7%
22.9
2/2
10%
7.7
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
16.05
Value flag · 2/X at 16.05 — our 11% vs market 3.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.1pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.5pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arminia Bielefeld EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.26/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.70
-30% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
446 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
26.5 Crosses 16.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arminia Bielefeld
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.55 xG 1.48
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
419 Passes 240
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 0-0 HT 0-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
06.06.2023 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-2 HT 1-2 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL2P
02.06.2023 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 4-0 HT 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2P
01.03.2020 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-0 HT 0-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL2
21.09.2019 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 2-5 HT 1-3 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
09.05.2015 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 1-1 HT 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arminia Bielefeld
4-2
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden
71% Ball Possession 29%
22 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
525 Passes 153
85% Pass Accuracy 60%
16 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Arminia Bielefeld vs Wehen Wiesbaden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arminia Bielefeld got the better of Wehen Wiesbaden 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arminia Bielefeld as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Arminia Bielefeld had 71% of the ball to Wehen Wiesbaden's 29%, shots finished 22-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Arminia Bielefeld and 1.50 for Wehen Wiesbaden.

What was the final score of Arminia Bielefeld vs Wehen Wiesbaden?

Arminia Bielefeld 4-2 Wehen Wiesbaden in the Germany - 3rd Division on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arminia Bielefeld vs Wehen Wiesbaden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Arminia Bielefeld 50%, draw 28%, Wehen Wiesbaden 22%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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