Saarbrücken 2-0 Erzgebirge Aue — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 8 Apr 2025

📅08/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.52
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.54
6+ Goals
11%
13.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.54 — our 26% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.37
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
19%
4.38
X/2
9%
8.8
X/X
13%
5.13
2/1
6%
23.3
2/2
10%
6.9
2/X
8%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.6pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Erzgebirge Aue EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.57/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.82
-13% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.6 Crosses 17.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saarbrücken
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Erzgebirge Aue
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 1-1 HT 1-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
09.03.2024 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-0 HT 2-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL3
07.10.2023 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 2-0 HT 0-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
26.02.2023 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 2-1 HT 0-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
20.08.2022 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 0-0 HT 0-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL3
24.02.2006 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 1-1 HT 1-1 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saarbrücken
2-0
AWAY Erzgebirge Aue
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 0
11 Corners 2
317 Passes 360
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
41 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Saarbrücken vs Erzgebirge Aue
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saarbrücken saw off Erzgebirge Aue 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Saarbrücken as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Saarbrücken had 49% of the ball to Erzgebirge Aue's 51%, shots finished 18-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Erzgebirge Aue led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Saarbrücken and 1.00 for Erzgebirge Aue.

What was the final score of Saarbrücken vs Erzgebirge Aue?

Saarbrücken 2-0 Erzgebirge Aue in the Germany - 3rd Division on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saarbrücken vs Erzgebirge Aue?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saarbrücken win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Saarbrücken 48%, draw 27%, Erzgebirge Aue 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saarbrücken) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Saarbrücken) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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