Hadiya Hosaena 1-1 Dire Dawa Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 8 Apr 2025

📅08/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.33
Draw
34%
2.61
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.6
No
55%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
24%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
39%
-7.7pp
34%
Draw
35%
-0.9pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+8.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
34%
+10.9pp
55%
BTTS No
66%
-10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hadiya Hosaena EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema EU Bookmakers 29%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.18/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.15
+15% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
407 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 165 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hadiya Hosaena
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
06.11.2024 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema 0-1 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena ETH
21.06.2024 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema 1-3 HT 0-1 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hadiya Hosaena
1-1
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hadiya Hosaena vs Dire Dawa Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hadiya Hosaena and Dire Dawa Kenema shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 34% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Hadiya Hosaena had 45% of the ball to Dire Dawa Kenema's 55%, shots finished 6-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hadiya Hosaena had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hadiya Hosaena and 0.50 for Dire Dawa Kenema.

What was the final score of Hadiya Hosaena vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Hadiya Hosaena 1-1 Dire Dawa Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hadiya Hosaena vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dire Dawa Kenema win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Hadiya Hosaena 32%, draw 34%, Dire Dawa Kenema 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (32/34/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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