Mekelakeya 1-0 Mekelle Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 8 Apr 2025

📅08/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.51
Over 2.5
29%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.33
No
67%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
55%
-8.5pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.2pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.2pp
71%
Under 2.5
62%
+8.5pp
29%
Over 2.5
38%
-8.5pp
33%
BTTS Yes
39%
-5.8pp
67%
BTTS No
61%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mekelakeya EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Mekelle Kenema EU Bookmakers 19%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.16/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/0.86
-4% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +40%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mekelakeya
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Mekelle Kenema
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
69% Ball Possession 31%
12 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
19.10.2024 Mekelle Kenema Mekelle Kenema 1-1 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mekelakeya
1-0
AWAY Mekelle Kenema
54% Ball Possession 46%
3 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mekelakeya vs Mekelle Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mekelakeya nicked a narrow win over Mekelle Kenema 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mekelakeya as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (67%) came in.

On the day, Mekelakeya had 54% of the ball to Mekelle Kenema's 46%, shots finished 3-4.

What was the final score of Mekelakeya vs Mekelle Kenema?

Mekelakeya 1-0 Mekelle Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mekelakeya vs Mekelle Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mekelakeya win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mekelakeya 46%, draw 31%, Mekelle Kenema 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mekelakeya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mekelakeya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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