Mekelle Kenema 1-1 Mekelakeya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.74
Over 2.5
39%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
12%
1/X
15%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-0.6pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.5pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
54%
+7.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
46%
-7.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mekelle Kenema EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Mekelakeya EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +128% / -66%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
239 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mekelle Kenema
1-1
AWAY Mekelakeya
31% Ball Possession 69%
5 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Mekelle Kenema vs Mekelakeya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mekelle Kenema and Mekelakeya couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (28% / 33% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mekelle Kenema had 31% of the ball to Mekelakeya's 69%, shots finished 5-12.

What was the final score of Mekelle Kenema vs Mekelakeya?

Mekelle Kenema 1-1 Mekelakeya in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mekelle Kenema vs Mekelakeya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mekelakeya win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mekelle Kenema 28%, draw 33%, Mekelakeya 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mekelakeya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mekelakeya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ETH More Etiyopya - Premier League
19 Oct 2024
16:00 Hadiya Hosaena vs Awassa Kenema Analysis →