Hadiya Hosaena 1-2 Awassa Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
12%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.3pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.7pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hadiya Hosaena EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Awassa Kenema EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.50/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.50/1.50
+30% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +86% / -20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hadiya Hosaena
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Awassa Kenema
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
26.05.2024 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena 1-2 HT 0-1 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hadiya Hosaena
1-2
AWAY Awassa Kenema
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Hadiya Hosaena vs Awassa Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Awassa Kenema squeezed past Hadiya Hosaena 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 34% / 31%) promised a tight game; Awassa Kenema found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hadiya Hosaena had 58% of the ball to Awassa Kenema's 42%, shots finished 17-9.

What was the final score of Hadiya Hosaena vs Awassa Kenema?

Hadiya Hosaena 1-2 Awassa Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hadiya Hosaena vs Awassa Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hadiya Hosaena win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Hadiya Hosaena 35%, draw 34%, Awassa Kenema 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hadiya Hosaena) ✗ Under 2.5
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