Al Shorta 4-1 Baghdad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 8 Apr 2026

📅08/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.25
Draw
11%
5.28
Away
12%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.23
Over 2.5
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.16
No
46%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
33%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
76%
+1.3pp
11%
Draw
16%
-5.4pp
13%
Away Win
8%
+4.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.8pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
42%
+11.5pp
46%
BTTS No
58%
-11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shorta EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Baghdad EU Bookmakers 11%
+14% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
2.46/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/2.32
+51% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +71% / -30%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shorta
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Baghdad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
30.12.2025 Baghdad Baghdad 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Shorta Al Shorta IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Shorta vs Baghdad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shorta cruised past Baghdad 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Shorta as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

What was the final score of Al Shorta vs Baghdad?

Al Shorta 4-1 Baghdad in the Iraq - Premier League on 08/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shorta vs Baghdad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shorta win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Al Shorta 77%, draw 11%, Baghdad 13%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shorta), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Shorta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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