Havelse 3-4 Kilia Kiel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 8 May 2024

📅08/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.22
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
77%
-13.9pp
21%
Draw
14%
+7.0pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+6.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
24%
+15.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
76%
-15.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.6pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Havelse EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Kilia Kiel EU Bookmakers 12%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.56/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/2.89
-42% / +106% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -19%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
443 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Havelse
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kilia Kiel
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.09.2023 Kilia Kiel 0-2 HT 0-0 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Havelse
3-4
AWAY Kilia Kiel
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Havelse vs Kilia Kiel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kilia Kiel edged past Havelse 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Havelse at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Havelse had 65% of the ball to Kilia Kiel's 35%, shots finished 18-7.

What was the final score of Havelse vs Kilia Kiel?

Havelse 3-4 Kilia Kiel in the Germany - Regional League on 08/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Havelse vs Kilia Kiel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Havelse win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Havelse 63%, draw 21%, Kilia Kiel 16%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Havelse), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Havelse) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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