Phönix Lübeck 6-2 Hamburg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 8 May 2024

📅08/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
32%
3.8
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.51
Over 2.5
46%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.49
No
51%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-9.8pp
32%
Draw
23%
+8.4pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
36%
+18.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
64%
-18.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
63%
-14.3pp
51%
BTTS No
37%
+14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburg II EU Bookmakers 27%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +21%
2.18/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.40
+12% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Phönix Lübeck
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Hamburg II
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.04.2024 Hamburg II Hamburg II 1-1 HT 0-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
26.04.2023 Hamburg II Hamburg II 2-1 HT 1-1 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
25.09.2022 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 3-1 HT 0-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
20.02.2022 Hamburg II Hamburg II 2-1 HT 2-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
02.11.2021 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 2-3 HT 2-1 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Phönix Lübeck
6-2
AWAY Hamburg II
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Phönix Lübeck vs Hamburg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Phönix Lübeck swept aside Hamburg II 6-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Phönix Lübeck as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Phönix Lübeck had 52% of the ball to Hamburg II's 48%, shots finished 17-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hamburg II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Phönix Lübeck and 1.80 for Hamburg II.

What was the final score of Phönix Lübeck vs Hamburg II?

Phönix Lübeck 6-2 Hamburg II in the Germany - Regional League on 08/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Phönix Lübeck vs Hamburg II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Phönix Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Phönix Lübeck 43%, draw 32%, Hamburg II 25%. The final score 6-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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