Hamburg II 1-1 Phönix Lübeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
44%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
35%
-10.0pp
30%
Draw
26%
+5.0pp
44%
Away Win
39%
+5.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.4pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamburg II EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
2.11/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/0.97
+44% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +41%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
269 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamburg II
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Phönix Lübeck
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2023 Hamburg II Hamburg II 2-1 HT 1-1 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
25.09.2022 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 3-1 HT 0-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
20.02.2022 Hamburg II Hamburg II 2-1 HT 2-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
02.11.2021 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 2-3 HT 2-1 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamburg II
1-1
AWAY Phönix Lübeck
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hamburg II vs Phönix Lübeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamburg II and Phönix Lübeck shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Phönix Lübeck at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Hamburg II had 54% of the ball to Phönix Lübeck's 46%, shots finished 7-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hamburg II had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hamburg II and 1.75 for Phönix Lübeck.

What was the final score of Hamburg II vs Phönix Lübeck?

Hamburg II 1-1 Phönix Lübeck in the Germany - Regional League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamburg II vs Phönix Lübeck?

Before kick-off our model rated an Phönix Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hamburg II 25%, draw 30%, Phönix Lübeck 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Phönix Lübeck), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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