Hertha Berlin II 1-0 Luckenwalde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.72
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
54%
-12.1pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.6pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hertha Berlin II EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 26%
-5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
2.25/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.51
+15% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +12%
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hertha Berlin II
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Luckenwalde
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
28.10.2023 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 2-0 HT 1-0 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
23.04.2023 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 2-0 HT 1-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
04.11.2022 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-2 HT 1-1 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
25.02.2022 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 4-0 HT 2-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
27.08.2021 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 2-3 HT 1-2 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
20.09.2020 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 1-2 HT 0-1 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Hertha Berlin II vs Luckenwalde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hertha Berlin II edged past Luckenwalde 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hertha Berlin II as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hertha Berlin II had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hertha Berlin II and 1.17 for Luckenwalde.

What was the final score of Hertha Berlin II vs Luckenwalde?

Hertha Berlin II 1-0 Luckenwalde in the Germany - Regional League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hertha Berlin II vs Luckenwalde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hertha Berlin II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hertha Berlin II 42%, draw 29%, Luckenwalde 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hertha Berlin II), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hertha Berlin II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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