Mainz 05 II 1-1 Stuttgart II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.99
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.5
No
53%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
30%
+9.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.5pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-6.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
62%
-15.1pp
53%
BTTS No
38%
+15.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mainz 05 II EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Stuttgart II EU Bookmakers 49%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.37/2.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.16
+1% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
298 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mainz 05 II
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Stuttgart II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 4-0 HT 2-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
20.11.2022 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 4-1 HT 2-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
12.02.2022 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 0-2 HT 0-2 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
03.09.2021 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 2-4 HT 1-1 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II ALMBÖL
27.03.2021 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 2-3 HT 1-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
10.10.2020 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 1-0 HT 1-0 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mainz 05 II
1-1
AWAY Stuttgart II
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Mainz 05 II vs Stuttgart II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mainz 05 II and Stuttgart II shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Mainz 05 II had 40% of the ball to Stuttgart II's 60%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mainz 05 II and 2.33 for Stuttgart II.

What was the final score of Mainz 05 II vs Stuttgart II?

Mainz 05 II 1-1 Stuttgart II in the Germany - Regional League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mainz 05 II vs Stuttgart II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mainz 05 II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 II 39%, draw 23%, Stuttgart II 38%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mainz 05 II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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