Teutonia Hamburg 3-3 St. Pauli II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
39%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.03
Over 2.5
41%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
44%
-9.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
39%
Away Win
30%
+8.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
45%
+13.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
55%
-13.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.1pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Teutonia Hamburg EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pauli II EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +15%
2.09/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.37
+24% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Teutonia Hamburg
2W-1D-2L
AWAY St. Pauli II
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2023 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 1-1 HT 0-0 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg ALMBÖL
26.02.2023 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg 0-1 HT 0-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
07.09.2022 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 2-0 HT 0-0 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg ALMBÖL
07.11.2021 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg 4-0 HT 3-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
29.08.2021 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 1-3 HT 1-2 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Teutonia Hamburg vs St. Pauli II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Teutonia Hamburg and St. Pauli II shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Teutonia Hamburg and 1.00 for St. Pauli II.

What was the final score of Teutonia Hamburg vs St. Pauli II?

Teutonia Hamburg 3-3 St. Pauli II in the Germany - Regional League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Teutonia Hamburg vs St. Pauli II?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Pauli II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Teutonia Hamburg 34%, draw 27%, St. Pauli II 39%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (St. Pauli II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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