Chemie Leipzig 2-2 Carl Zeiss Jena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-4.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.2pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chemie Leipzig EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena EU Bookmakers 45%
+20% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.43/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.02
+5% / +92% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +34%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
283 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chemie Leipzig
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.10.2023 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 1-0 HT 0-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
18.03.2023 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 2-0 HT 1-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
07.10.2022 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-0 HT 0-0 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
03.04.2022 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 3-2 HT 1-1 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
25.09.2021 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 3-2 HT 1-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
23.09.2020 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 0-2 HT 0-1 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chemie Leipzig
2-2
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chemie Leipzig vs Carl Zeiss Jena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chemie Leipzig and Carl Zeiss Jena couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Chemie Leipzig had 52% of the ball to Carl Zeiss Jena's 48%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carl Zeiss Jena led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chemie Leipzig and 1.67 for Carl Zeiss Jena.

What was the final score of Chemie Leipzig vs Carl Zeiss Jena?

Chemie Leipzig 2-2 Carl Zeiss Jena in the Germany - Regional League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chemie Leipzig vs Carl Zeiss Jena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chemie Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chemie Leipzig 37%, draw 26%, Carl Zeiss Jena 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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