Bordeaux (K) 2-1 Lyon (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 8 May 2024

📅08/05/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
46%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.38
No
44%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+1.5pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.7pp
46%
Away Win
52%
-6.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.2pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bordeaux (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyon (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
431 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bordeaux (K)
2-1
AWAY Lyon (K)
3.08 xG 0.57
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Bordeaux (K) vs Lyon (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bordeaux (K) squeezed past Lyon (K) 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Lyon (K) at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 3.08 to 0.57 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bordeaux (K)'s control.

What was the final score of Bordeaux (K) vs Lyon (K)?

Bordeaux (K) 2-1 Lyon (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 08/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bordeaux (K) vs Lyon (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lyon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bordeaux (K) 28%, draw 26%, Lyon (K) 46%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lyon (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lyon (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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