Guingamp (K) 3-4 Le Havre (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 8 May 2024

📅08/05/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-6.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.1pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guingamp (K) EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Havre (K) EU Bookmakers 49%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
2.22/2.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.22
+116% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +50%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
18.0 Crosses 10.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guingamp (K)
3-4
AWAY Le Havre (K)
2.05 xG 3.89
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 21
7 Shots on Target 12
2 Corners 6
235 Passes 358
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 38
9 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Guingamp (K) vs Le Havre (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Havre (K) edged past Guingamp (K) 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Le Havre (K) made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Guingamp (K) had 44% of the ball to Le Havre (K)'s 56%, shots finished 9-21, expected goals 2.05 to 3.89 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Le Havre (K)'s control.

What was the final score of Guingamp (K) vs Le Havre (K)?

Guingamp (K) 3-4 Le Havre (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 08/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guingamp (K) vs Le Havre (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Le Havre (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Guingamp (K) 35%, draw 27%, Le Havre (K) 38%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Le Havre (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Le Havre (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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