Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1-2 FK Rodina Moskva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 8 May 2024

📅08/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
46%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+5.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-3.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.2pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alaniya Vladikavkaz EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva EU Bookmakers 54%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.00/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.50
-100% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +63%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2W-0D-0L
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.08.2023 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 1-2 HT 1-1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
24.07.2022 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 1-3 HT 0-1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1-2
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs FK Rodina Moskva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Rodina Moskva squeezed past Alaniya Vladikavkaz 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had FK Rodina Moskva as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Alaniya Vladikavkaz had 53% of the ball to FK Rodina Moskva's 47%, shots finished 9-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Alaniya Vladikavkaz had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Alaniya Vladikavkaz and 1.00 for FK Rodina Moskva.

What was the final score of Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs FK Rodina Moskva?

Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1-2 FK Rodina Moskva in the Russia - FNL on 08/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs FK Rodina Moskva?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Rodina Moskva win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Alaniya Vladikavkaz 31%, draw 23%, FK Rodina Moskva 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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