Makhachkala 1-0 Khimki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 8 May 2024

📅08/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.2pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.8pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.7pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Khimki EU Bookmakers 38%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.10/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.65
+2% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -34%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Makhachkala
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Khimki
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
2 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.10.2023 Khimki Khimki 1-0 HT 0-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Makhachkala
1-0
AWAY Khimki
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Makhachkala vs Khimki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Makhachkala nicked a narrow win over Khimki 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Makhachkala made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Makhachkala had 53% of the ball to Khimki's 47%, shots finished 9-10.

What was the final score of Makhachkala vs Khimki?

Makhachkala 1-0 Khimki in the Russia - FNL on 08/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Makhachkala vs Khimki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Makhachkala win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Makhachkala 37%, draw 28%, Khimki 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Makhachkala), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Makhachkala) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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