Raja Casablanca 3-2 Difaa El Jadida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 8 May 2025

Raja Casablanca
3-2 HT 2-1
Difaa El Jadida
📅08/05/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Morocco - League – 2024/2025

Raja Casablanca vs Difaa El Jadida Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.78
Over 2.5
39%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.89
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.72
6+ Goals
9%
16.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 36% vs market 27.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+9.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-9.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.0pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Raja Casablanca v Difaa El Jadida — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raja Casablanca EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Difaa El Jadida EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +4%
1.24/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.52
-14% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
299 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 68%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Raja Casablanca vs Difaa El Jadida Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raja Casablanca
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Difaa El Jadida
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.12.2024 Difaa El Jadida Difaa El Jadida 2-0 HT 1-0 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
23.06.2023 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca 3-2 HT 0-0 Difaa El Jadida Difaa El Jadida FAS
24.01.2023 Difaa El Jadida Difaa El Jadida 0-0 HT 0-0 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
06.05.2022 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca 2-0 HT 0-0 Difaa El Jadida Difaa El Jadida FAS
30.10.2021 Difaa El Jadida Difaa El Jadida 0-2 HT 0-0 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
24.06.2021 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca 2-0 HT 0-0 Difaa El Jadida Difaa El Jadida FAS
POST-MATCH Raja Casablanca vs Difaa El Jadida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raja Casablanca squeezed past Difaa El Jadida 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Raja Casablanca as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Raja Casablanca had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Raja Casablanca and 0.67 for Difaa El Jadida.

What was the final score of Raja Casablanca vs Difaa El Jadida?

Raja Casablanca 3-2 Difaa El Jadida in the Morocco - League on 08/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raja Casablanca vs Difaa El Jadida?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raja Casablanca win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Raja Casablanca 48%, draw 28%, Difaa El Jadida 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Raja Casablanca) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Raja Casablanca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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