FAR Rabat 2-1 Moghreb Tetouan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 8 May 2025

📅08/05/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.91
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
2.97
6+ Goals
10%
9.24
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.91 — our 28% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
69%
-13.6pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.9pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+8.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.4pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FAR Rabat EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Moghreb Tetouan EU Bookmakers 15%
+12% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
2.30/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.60
+32% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
471 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FAR Rabat
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Moghreb Tetouan
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
25.12.2024 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 1-2 HT 0-0 FAR Rabat FAR Rabat FAS
02.06.2024 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 2-2 HT 2-1 FAR Rabat FAR Rabat FAS
04.01.2024 FAR Rabat FAR Rabat 3-0 HT 1-0 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
17.04.2023 FAR Rabat FAR Rabat 2-1 HT 0-1 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
14.11.2022 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 0-2 HT 0-1 FAR Rabat FAR Rabat FAS
14.05.2022 FAR Rabat FAR Rabat 3-0 HT 0-0 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FASK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FAR Rabat
2-1
AWAY Moghreb Tetouan
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FAR Rabat vs Moghreb Tetouan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FAR Rabat nicked a narrow win over Moghreb Tetouan 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FAR Rabat as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, FAR Rabat had 45% of the ball to Moghreb Tetouan's 55%, shots finished 16-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FAR Rabat had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for FAR Rabat and 0.67 for Moghreb Tetouan.

What was the final score of FAR Rabat vs Moghreb Tetouan?

FAR Rabat 2-1 Moghreb Tetouan in the Morocco - League on 08/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FAR Rabat vs Moghreb Tetouan?

Before kick-off our model rated a FAR Rabat win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split FAR Rabat 55%, draw 24%, Moghreb Tetouan 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FAR Rabat) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FAR Rabat) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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