Moghreb Tetouan 1-2 FAR Rabat — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 25 Dec 2024

📅25/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.65
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
49%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.06
No
65%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.66
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
3.94
6+ Goals
7%
18.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 36% vs market 30.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
19%
+8.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
49%
Away Win
57%
-8.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.7pp
35%
BTTS Yes
44%
-10.0pp
65%
BTTS No
56%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moghreb Tetouan EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY FAR Rabat EU Bookmakers 61%
+12% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -16%
0.67/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.81
-22% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -5%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
226 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moghreb Tetouan
0W-2D-4L
AWAY FAR Rabat
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.06.2024 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 2-2 HT 2-1 FAR Rabat FAR Rabat FAS
04.01.2024 FAR Rabat FAR Rabat 3-0 HT 1-0 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
17.04.2023 FAR Rabat FAR Rabat 2-1 HT 0-1 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
14.11.2022 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 0-2 HT 0-1 FAR Rabat FAR Rabat FAS
14.05.2022 FAR Rabat FAR Rabat 3-0 HT 0-0 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FASK
15.05.2021 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 0-0 HT 0-0 FAR Rabat FAR Rabat FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moghreb Tetouan
1-2
AWAY FAR Rabat
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Moghreb Tetouan vs FAR Rabat
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FAR Rabat squeezed past Moghreb Tetouan 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FAR Rabat as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Moghreb Tetouan had 37% of the ball to FAR Rabat's 63%, shots finished 11-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FAR Rabat led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Moghreb Tetouan and 2.00 for FAR Rabat.

What was the final score of Moghreb Tetouan vs FAR Rabat?

Moghreb Tetouan 1-2 FAR Rabat in the Morocco - League on 25/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moghreb Tetouan vs FAR Rabat?

Before kick-off our model rated an FAR Rabat win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Moghreb Tetouan 27%, draw 23%, FAR Rabat 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FAR Rabat) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FAR Rabat) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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