Al Zawraa 1-0 Diala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 8 May 2025

📅08/05/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.74
Over 2.5
36%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.44
No
69%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
68%
-5.0pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.1pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+4.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
54%
+10.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
46%
-10.7pp
31%
BTTS Yes
37%
-5.9pp
69%
BTTS No
63%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Zawraa EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Diala EU Bookmakers 15%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
2.41/0.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.99
+49% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +71%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
423 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Zawraa vs Diala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Zawraa squeezed past Diala 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Zawraa as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (69%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Al Zawraa vs Diala?

Al Zawraa 1-0 Diala in the Iraq - Premier League on 08/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Zawraa vs Diala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Zawraa win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Al Zawraa 63%, draw 20%, Diala 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Zawraa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Zawraa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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