Al Najaf 0-1 Newroz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 8 May 2025

📅08/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.38
Draw
21%
3.04
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.09
No
62%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
17%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
38%
+7.6pp
21%
Draw
29%
-8.6pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.7pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najaf EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Newroz EU Bookmakers 36%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.62/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/1.30
-40% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +111% / -25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Najaf
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Newroz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
05.03.2024 Al Najaf Al Najaf 1-0 Newroz IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Najaf vs Newroz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newroz edged past Al Najaf 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Al Najaf at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Al Najaf vs Newroz?

Al Najaf 0-1 Newroz in the Iraq - Premier League on 08/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najaf vs Newroz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Najaf win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Najaf 46%, draw 21%, Newroz 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Najaf) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Najaf) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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