Foolad Khuzestan 2-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 8 May 2025

📅08/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
Over 2.5
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.4
No
67%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
29%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
55%
+0.8pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.2pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+3.5pp
33%
BTTS Yes
38%
-4.0pp
67%
BTTS No
62%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foolad Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 20%
+14% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -6%
1.17/0.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.23
-18% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
321 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foolad Khuzestan
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Esteghlal Khuzestan
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
10.04.2025 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-1 HT 0-0 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan IRAN
26.12.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-0 HT 0-0 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan IRAN
07.12.2024 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan 0-2 HT 0-2 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
13.05.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 HT 0-0 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan IRAN
17.03.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-0 HT 0-0 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan IRAN
09.12.2023 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan 0-0 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
POST-MATCH Foolad Khuzestan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foolad Khuzestan nicked a narrow win over Esteghlal Khuzestan 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Foolad Khuzestan as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esteghlal Khuzestan led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Foolad Khuzestan and 0.50 for Esteghlal Khuzestan.

What was the final score of Foolad Khuzestan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?

Foolad Khuzestan 2-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 08/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foolad Khuzestan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Foolad Khuzestan win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Foolad Khuzestan 55%, draw 24%, Esteghlal Khuzestan 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Foolad Khuzestan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Foolad Khuzestan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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