Havadar 1-1 Sepahan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 8 May 2025

📅08/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.18
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
59%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
24%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
11%
+9.0pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.5pp
59%
Away Win
68%
-8.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+5.4pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Havadar EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Sepahan EU Bookmakers 71%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
0.39/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/0.67
-44% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +3%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
254 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Havadar
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Sepahan
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
27.12.2024 Sepahan Sepahan 5-0 HT 2-0 Havadar Havadar IRAN
24.05.2024 Sepahan Sepahan 2-0 HT 2-0 Havadar Havadar IRAN
19.12.2023 Havadar Havadar 0-5 HT 0-3 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
05.03.2023 Sepahan Sepahan 3-1 HT 2-0 Havadar Havadar IRAN
18.02.2022 Havadar Havadar 0-0 HT 0-0 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
30.10.2021 Sepahan Sepahan 1-0 HT 0-0 Havadar Havadar IRAN
POST-MATCH Havadar vs Sepahan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Havadar and Sepahan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Sepahan at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sepahan led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Havadar and 2.67 for Sepahan.

What was the final score of Havadar vs Sepahan?

Havadar 1-1 Sepahan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 08/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Havadar vs Sepahan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sepahan win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Havadar 20%, draw 21%, Sepahan 59%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sepahan), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sepahan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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