Sepahan 5-0 Havadar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 27 Dec 2024

📅27/12/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.3
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.67
No
63%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.84
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.7
6+ Goals
9%
16.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 31% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
73%
-11.8pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.9pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+7.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.8pp
37%
BTTS Yes
33%
+3.8pp
63%
BTTS No
67%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sepahan EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Havadar EU Bookmakers 11%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
1.81/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.43
+17% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +2%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
444 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sepahan
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Havadar
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
24.05.2024 Sepahan Sepahan 2-0 HT 2-0 Havadar Havadar IRAN
19.12.2023 Havadar Havadar 0-5 HT 0-3 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
05.03.2023 Sepahan Sepahan 3-1 HT 2-0 Havadar Havadar IRAN
18.02.2022 Havadar Havadar 0-0 HT 0-0 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
30.10.2021 Sepahan Sepahan 1-0 HT 0-0 Havadar Havadar IRAN
POST-MATCH Sepahan vs Havadar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sepahan cruised past Havadar 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sepahan as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (63%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sepahan had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Sepahan and 0.20 for Havadar.

What was the final score of Sepahan vs Havadar?

Sepahan 5-0 Havadar in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 27/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sepahan vs Havadar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sepahan win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Sepahan 61%, draw 23%, Havadar 16%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sepahan), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sepahan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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