Malavan FC 1-1 Aluminium Arak — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 27 Dec 2024

📅27/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.33
Draw
27%
2.61
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.36
Over 2.5
32%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.4
No
63%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.79
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
15%
7.04
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
40%
+8.0pp
27%
Draw
35%
-8.5pp
25%
Away Win
25%
+0.6pp
68%
Under 2.5
70%
-1.7pp
32%
Over 2.5
30%
+1.7pp
37%
BTTS Yes
38%
-0.6pp
63%
BTTS No
62%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malavan FC EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminium Arak EU Bookmakers 28%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.09/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.03
-1% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malavan FC
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Aluminium Arak
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
01.06.2024 Malavan FC Malavan FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
31.12.2023 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-1 HT 1-1 Malavan FC Malavan FC IRAN
06.03.2023 Malavan FC Malavan FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
POST-MATCH Malavan FC vs Aluminium Arak
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malavan FC and Aluminium Arak shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Malavan FC at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Malavan FC and 1.00 for Aluminium Arak.

What was the final score of Malavan FC vs Aluminium Arak?

Malavan FC 1-1 Aluminium Arak in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 27/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malavan FC vs Aluminium Arak?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malavan FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Malavan FC 48%, draw 27%, Aluminium Arak 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Malavan FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Malavan FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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